Thursday, July 16, 2015

David Casabonne - Stanzas

Places that Remind Me............

 
Long Gone       Abandoned Rail Road Tressel  Amsterdam, NY

        House in the Valley      White School House Road Chestertown, NY
 
Barn Door              Amsterdam, NY
 
Freedom Tower          Construction 10 15 2011
 
Father and Daughter     Heldeburgh Escarpment John Boyd Thatcher State Park  Voorheesville, NY

This is Not the end of the drama

Close Up and Go Hits 16 July

4 Marines dead at Tenn

Even in Germany

They are admitting that things are bad for normal people

game theory for dummies

Do not understand Greece?  That is all right,  your in with a great deal of company,  including people who really ought to know better.  But what it the papers today was a giant clusicous  remark by a negotiator for the Germans:  basically he said "Why do not you just leave?"

And that remark gave everyone who thought they had a clue,  a real point to start at the end and work backwards. It was just the  smart people who knew what was going on,  it was the people who listened very closely,  which is a larger number than before.  You just have to know what the  signs are,  and use something called  "Game Theory".

Game theory was invented by Morgenstern and John von Neumann,  with von Neumann  one of the finest mathematicians in the 20th century.  the game that they started was littered with the best of minds  in the field,  many of them great mathematicians themselves.  and three of the brightest are Gödel, Turing,  and Nash.  what the three of them did was essentially invent the idea of informational space,  and, though separately,  introduced the idea that there was something like a current running through this.  Later on engineers realized that it was not just theoretical,  it was also practical. 

And one of the greatest ideas came from Nash,  And that was,  do not go forward,  go backwards. This way you will know what each  participant once with their time,  and how best to conserve  it. In this way you could show by game theory what they would do,  and what they would do by min maxing their position,  whatever their opponents did.

This was not just theoretical,  Nash showed it by using poker as an example,  but it is mean use is with real people and the choices that they make.  Once you look backwards,  you will see that the logical choices,  if any,  will be there.  And sometimes they will not be there has you would expect.

Take for example: Greece.  it might seem that there are only two players:  a Greek player,  and a European player.  from this viewpoint,  the Greeks want out,  and the Europeans want in,  that is of the euro.  so the  Europeans punish the Greeks to bend them to their will.  but there is not to but three players in the game:  the rich Greek people,  the poor Greek people,  and the Europeans.  the Europeans and the poor Greek people both want for Greece to go on the drachma.  but the rich Greek people,  who control all that is worth anything,  want to stay so they can move out of the country whenever is worth moving.  they are the people who want to stay.

With this in mind,  it then becomes very simple to see why the condition of the country is what it is. The rich Greek people are hiding money,  leaving exposed public goods to be taken; because after all they do not care about public goods,  only private ones.  The poor Greek people,  who have  some allotment of public goods,  even if it is just to get some to lose money,  do not have this advantage. That is why the rich Greekocrockes  do not care about public goods,  and are happy to waste them in order to keep the private goods which they can shuffle back and forward.  

But more than that,  there are other rich elites wanting to stay on the euro,  whatever the cost is  to their poor brethren.  Such as Ireland.  All of these elites want to stay on the euro to have transportability of their money,  while the poor do not really care.  at least not enough to take the whipping from the  bloodless Eurocrats.

So next time you see the results of what is going on in Europe,  realize that the parliament is controlled by Rich people,  and the poor are increasingly out on the street.  and the rich Eurocrats do not have a  clue as to how to play the game.  what they should do is go after the rich of the country, not the poor.  For example taxing money going out of the country.

But that would leave the Eurocrats in the position of  caring for ordinary people.  which they would not rather do.  I will leave as an exercise how many people in Britain actually elect the government.

(Props to When Will Greek Looting and Austerity End? | Ian Welsh )

Two for Today


Down by the river

Do you remember?
Days down by the river-
On a hazy summers after noon.
Warm breezes coming off of the water-
Entangled in the heat of passion.
Nectar flowing like the water of the river.
River barges lumbering east and west.
Through the murky brown water-
And the lush green trees.
Not regretting the days before-
Trying to relive the moment.
The long summer days blur
Like the heat haze blurs;
The rivers murky brown water-
And the lush green of the trees.

D.Casabonne(C)8.18.2002 All rights Reserved

Untitled 11.28.08 
I remember the things that my father taught me,
and all of the things that I learned from him.
I never thought I wanted to be like he was.
I wanted to be someone else.
I wanted his wisdom, but I had no patience.
I wanted his ethics, but I had no morals.
I wanted his talent, but I had no knowledge.
He helped so many, and was a man of his word.
He tried to teach me, the value of hard work and honesty.
I fell into sloth and deceit.
I looked at my self with contempt, a parasite, a pariah.
I had become the monster of nightmares and pain
…. I was walking death.
I had done things, that should have had me locked up in chains,
awakened a demon that knows no peace, that lies dormant like a festering sickness.
I was beaten, defeated, I knew only darkness, a shadow walking through the trees.
Through time I found a greater wisdom, A paradox.
I was no longer my own God, demon, Judas, defeat was my greatest defense.
No longer akin to darkness and shadow, I could be everything that he once was.
I looked in the mirror, and the monster was gone.
D.Casabonne 11.28.2008(C)All rights reserved
  


Afternoon Hits 16 July

Morning Hits 16 July

Marlene Sanders Dies

The Beauty of Every Day

Left Unite in Catalan Elects

China goes to War footing

Morning Hits - 16 July

Man in front of board showing stock prices in China (Reuters: Kim Kyung-hoon)

Chinese growth based on 'thin air' ABC News Analysts say China's panic response to its share market crash highlights the threat of a major financial crisis.
New jellyfish species discovered by 9yo ABC News A new species of pygmy box jellyfish was discovered in a Gold Coast canal by a nine-year-old boy.
Labor leak: is Shorten in the firing line?Paula Matthewson
Lawmakers in Greece Approve Austerity Terms for Bailout
Your Evening Briefing What Greek Revolt?
Boston's last pile of snow finally melts — halfway through July The last remaining 'snow farm' left behind by Boston's record-breaking winter was declared dead on Tuesday
Fine Gael to return in autumn primed for general election
La viabilité de l'accord grec en question
Greece, Its Back to the Wall, Adopts Austerity Steps - The New York Times
Former CFMEU official Fihi Kivalu arrested after testimony at trade union royal commission - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
The killer robots of South Korea
Uber fined $7.3m in California
Asian markets edge up as Athens approves bailout - BBC News
China securities watchdog busts market rumors
Shinzo Abe's coalition approves legislation that could see Japanese troops sent abroad to fight for first time since WWII - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)
The new Vegas of the East? - BBC News